Friday 14 October 2011

QIPCO Champions Day

QIPCO BRITISH CHAMPIONS FILLIES´ AND MARES´ STAKES (GROUP 2) 1m 4f


Ferdoos and Vita nova are closely matched on their Haydock form earlier in the season when the former won narrowly from the second with Crystal Capella and Meeznah further back. The latter has gone onto bigger things since when nearly unseating Tom Queally in the Lancashire Oaks when the race was at her mercy and narrowly being beaten by Blue Bunting with Crystal Capella and Banimpire further back in fourth and fifth respectively.
Dancing Rain this year's Epsom Oaks winner and Irish Oaks fifth subsequently won the German equivalent. She was regarded by many to have been slightly lucky to win the Oaks after being given a terrific ride by Murtagh from the front. I think the form of the Irish Oaks stands up slightly better as a rough guide and on a line through Blue Bunting and her win in the Yorkshire Oaks, I think Vita Nova may just be slightly better than Dancing Rain even at these weights. This would also give Ferdoos if she is able to progress from that win earlier in the season although the time off the track is a slight concern.
Of the others, Crystal Capella has to be feared given she has won this race for the last two years -albeit at HQ- although her best form this year was also at HQ when she was a hugely impressive winner in the Princess of Wales Stakes.

Recommended bet: Ferdoos to win, although market confidence would be a big bonus. Still unexposed having only had the four runs and can be a bit of a monkey once taking the lead. Vita Nova should go close but Ferdoos is the pick.

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